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2024-12-13 12:00:04

Central Economic Work Conference: Appropriately raise the basic pension for retirees and raise the basic pension for urban and rural residents. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting decided to do a good job in the following key tasks next year. It is mentioned that we should vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency and expand domestic demand in all directions. We will implement special actions to boost consumption, promote low-and middle-income groups to increase income and reduce burdens, and enhance their spending power, willingness and level. Appropriately raise the basic pension for retirees, raise the basic pension for urban and rural residents, and raise the financial subsidy standard for medical insurance for urban and rural residents. Strengthen the expansion and implement the "two new" policies, innovate diversified consumption scenarios, expand service consumption, and promote the development of cultural tourism. Actively develop the starting economy, the ice and snow economy and the silver-haired economy. Strengthen top-down organization and coordination, and give greater support to the "two-fold" project. Appropriately increase investment in the central budget. Strengthen the coordination between finance and finance, and effectively promote social investment with government investment. Plan major projects in the Tenth Five-Year Plan as soon as possible. Vigorously implement urban renewal. Implement special actions to reduce the logistics cost of the whole society. (Xinhua News Agency)Novo Nordisk: After the clinical trial results of kidney therapy were released, European regulators gave Ozempic a positive label evaluation.Guo Liyan, Institute of Economics, China Macroeconomic Research Institute: It is a long-term and fundamental policy to continuously promote the construction of ultra-large-scale domestic market. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Guo Liyan, deputy director of the Economic Research Institute of China Macroeconomic Research Institute, said in an interview that expanding domestic demand in an all-round way and continuously promoting the construction of super-large-scale domestic market are not just temporary measures to cope with risks and external shocks, but long-term and fundamental measures to promote Chinese modernization. The key is to boost consumption and improve the efficiency of investment, so that effective investment and potential consumption can form a virtuous cycle promotion mechanism, thereby consolidating and enhancing the main role of domestic demand in supporting the national economic cycle, and giving full play to the powerful supporting role of domestic demand for high-quality economic development and higher-level participation in international competition and cooperation. (The country is a through train)


US President-elect Trump: If it cannot be approved, it is not excluded to use recess appointments to fill cabinet vacancies. It is "possible" to veto the budget or appropriation that does not conform to the newly established government efficiency department.Lian Ping: The Central Economic Work Conference released a strong financial afterburner signal to lower the RRR or cut interest rates at the end of this year or early next year. Lian Ping, chairman of the China Chief Economist Forum and president of the Guangkai Chief Industry Research Institute, said in an interview that the Central Economic Work Conference mentioned that "a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented" and "lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the right time", which means that it is expected to intensify next year. Combined with the current domestic and international situation and liquidity situation, it is expected that the RRR cut and interest rate cut will land at the end of this year and early next year. Regarding "exploring and expanding the macro-prudential and financial stability functions of the central bank", Lian Ping believes that, on the one hand, the monetary policy should be reasonable and moderate, with a steady pace, so as to avoid a big deviation from market demand; On the other hand, monetary policy should explore and expand related fields and innovate constantly in maintaining financial stability. The functional connotation of the subsequent central bank is expected to be further enriched, and its coverage function may be extended to the whole financial field. "Next, whether it is the real estate market or the stock market, we need to build a long-term mechanism for financial stability." Lian Ping said. (SSE)The European Central Bank expects inflation to cool down faster. It is reported that the European Central Bank now expects inflation to cool down slightly faster than the forecast in September. It currently predicts that the average inflation rate in 2024 and 2025 will be 2.4% and 2.1% respectively, compared with the previous forecast of 2.5% and 2.2% respectively. In the statement, the European Central Bank also said: "The anti-inflation process is on the right track."


European Central Bank President Lagarde: Since July 2023, the flexibility of the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) has not been used, and the transmission protection tool (TPI) has not been discussed.Stellantis: After rejoining ACEA, it will be consistent with its proposal. Jean-Philippe Imparato, head of Europe for Stellantis, said on Thursday that Stellantis decided to rejoin the European automobile lobby group ACEA, which means that the automobile manufacturer will immediately be consistent with the group's proposal. Stellantis said last week that he would rejoin ACEA, and the group withdrew in early 2023. Under the leadership of Carlos Tavares, CEO who resigned earlier this month, the group had previously opposed ACEA's call for reducing the EU's intermediate carbon emission reduction target in 2025, saying that it might bring billions of dollars in losses to the automobile industry.Lian Ping: The Central Economic Work Conference released a strong financial afterburner signal to lower the RRR or cut interest rates at the end of this year or early next year. Lian Ping, chairman of the China Chief Economist Forum and president of the Guangkai Chief Industry Research Institute, said in an interview that the Central Economic Work Conference mentioned that "a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented" and "lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the right time", which means that it is expected to intensify next year. Combined with the current domestic and international situation and liquidity situation, it is expected that the RRR cut and interest rate cut will land at the end of this year and early next year. Regarding "exploring and expanding the macro-prudential and financial stability functions of the central bank", Lian Ping believes that, on the one hand, the monetary policy should be reasonable and moderate, with a steady pace, so as to avoid a big deviation from market demand; On the other hand, monetary policy should explore and expand related fields and innovate constantly in maintaining financial stability. The functional connotation of the subsequent central bank is expected to be further enriched, and its coverage function may be extended to the whole financial field. "Next, whether it is the real estate market or the stock market, we need to build a long-term mechanism for financial stability." Lian Ping said. (SSE)

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